The Outpost Report: January 2026 Special Edition “2025 In Review”
Welcome to this month’s special edition of The Outpost Report, a neighborhood-focused look at the real estate market in Outpost Estates.
Compiled by Anthony Mian, a real estate specialist with Douglas Elliman, this report brings timely data, insights, and stories about the homes, history, and market activity shaping our hillside community.
Why share this? Because real estate activity impacts all of us as neighbors and stakeholders. Property values, sales trends, and even renovation styles influence the character, livability, and long-term health of our neighborhood. By keeping our community informed, we strengthen our ability to advocate for Outpost Estates as a unique and historic place to live.
The Outpost Neighborhood Association (ONA) is committed to protecting and enhancing our neighborhood — from safety and beautification to community-building and historic preservation. Understanding real estate trends is part of that mission: it helps us anticipate change, protect neighborhood character, and support decisions that benefit current residents and future generations alike.
With that in mind, here’s the January 2026 update, a special edition of “The Outpost Report” that focuses in on what happened in the Outpost Estates real estate market in 2025.
Click the image to open The Outpost Report for January 2026 that was mailed to every home in Outpost Estates.
Welcome to the “2025 In Review” edition of The Outpost Report, a comprehensive look back at the past year in Outpost Estates real estate. Rather than a single month in focus, this report examines the trends, pricing shifts, and sales activity that defined 2025, highlighting how buyers behaved, which homes performed best, and what the data reveals about the market heading into the year ahead.
2025 at a Glance
21 homes sold in Outpost Estates, reflecting steady but selective market activity.
Median sale price of approximately $3.7M, up 10 percent year over year, signaling continued strength in values.
Median price per square foot of $996, an increase of 5.8 percent, pointing to real appreciation across the neighborhood.
Median days on market rose to 44 days, up 60 percent, highlighting a more deliberate buyer environment.
📈 A Look Back: Tony’s Insights From 2025
2025 was a year defined by stability in activity but meaningful strength in pricing. Even with one fewer sale than 2024 (21 versus 22), buyers spent 13.7 percent more total dollars in Outpost Estates, and values rose across nearly every measurable indicator. The median sale price increased 10 percent, price per square foot rose almost 6 percent, and buyers gravitated toward larger homes, with median square footage up 12 percent and median lot size up 10.5 percent year over year. While part of the median price growth reflects the mix of higher quality and larger homes selling this year, the increase in price per square foot confirms that true appreciation took place across the neighborhood.
What stood out most was the return of the luxury segment. After recording zero sales over $5M in 2024, the neighborhood saw four such transactions in 2025, including a $12M sale on La Presa that reset the top end of the market and lifted the average sale price by more than 19 percent. Even with this high-end momentum, the fundamentals remained clear and strong. Almost one in four homes sold over asking this year compared to only 9 percent last year.
Lifestyle amenities also continued to drive premiums. Homes with pools carried roughly a one-million-dollar median price premium over non-pool homes, a trend that held consistent across both years. And while Days on Market increased to a median of 44 days, which is a 60 percent rise, the pricing data points to a patient and selective buyer pool rather than weakening demand. When a home was well prepared, private, renovated, or positioned on a superior lot, buyers were willing to pay for it.
Overall, 2025 felt less like a market chasing momentum and more like one re-pricing quality. Buyers demonstrated a clear willingness to pay more for the right home in Outpost Estates.
TOP 5 NEIGHBORHOOD SALES OF 2025
7100 La Presa Drive
Sold for $12,000,000
6950 Oporto Drive
Sold for $7,800,000
2525 Outpost Drive
Sold for $5,300,000
2178 Castilian Drive
Sold for $4,599,000
7038 Los Tilos Road
Sold for $4,595,000
💡 A Look Ahead: Tony’s 2026 Outlook
2026 is expected to be a year of gradual normalization rather than dramatic shifts. Forecasts suggest mortgage rates will remain in the low-to-mid 6 percent range, which may improve affordability slightly but will not dramatically change buying power. National price growth is projected to be modest, and this generally creates a stable environment where buyers feel more confident and sellers who prepare properly can still achieve strong results.
In Outpost Estates specifically, inventory will be the driving force behind pricing and pace. There are currently 19 active listings in the neighborhood, which is one of the highest counts we have seen in recent years. If this elevated supply trend continues into 2026, we may see a softer rate of price growth, longer Days on Market, and increased competition among sellers. Buyers will have more options, and the homes that are thoughtfully prepared and positioned will separate themselves clearly from the rest.
The premium for high quality properties is expected to remain intact. Renovated homes, architectural homes, and properties with privacy or strong indoor-outdoor living will continue to command attention quickly. As a whole, 2026 is shaping up to be a balanced year for Outpost Estates, with opportunity on both sides. Sellers will need to be strategic, and buyers may find more breathing room than they have had in the past several years.
👤 About Anthony Mian
Anthony Mian is a licensed real estate specialist with Douglas Elliman . With years of experience representing luxury hillside properties in the Hollywood Hills, Anthony combines professional expertise with personal investment in the neighborhood’s future.
As a market expert, Anthony tracks trends that affect property values, buyer demand, and neighborhood character. His goal is to share this information with the community so that Outpost Estates residents and stakeholders can make informed decisions about their homes, investments, and long-term planning.
📧 anthony.mian@elliman.com
📞 (805) 341-4645
📍 Anthony’s Profile
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Disclaimer: Outpost Neighborhood Association (ONA) does not endorse or promote any particular real estate agent or company. This report is provided at no cost to ONA by Anthony Mian, who also supports ONA by covering postage and printing for neighborhood mailings. ONA partners with stakeholders from time to time, such as our Annual Earth Day Paper Shredding & Electronic Recycling Event, to bring information, resources and services to the community.
